Saturday, September 01, 2007

Attacking the Consensus Again:
Is it Benny Peiser Jr.?




Apparently there's a paradigm shifting paper coming out in an 'scientific journal'. Straight from the Senator Inhofe (Minority Chairman of Environmental and Public Works) press blog:
LESS THAN HALF OF ALL PUBLISHED SCIENTISTS ENDORSE GLOBAL WARMING THEORY; COMPREHENSIVE SURVEY OF PUBLISHED CLIMATE RESEARCH REVEALS CHANGING VIEWPOINTS
In order for this to be true this massive list of sourced and web-linked quotes from scientists, 21 National Academies and pretty much every major scientific organization would have to be wrong. So let look at this study a little closer:
The results have been submitted to the journal Energy and Environment
They also claim that the IPCC is unreliable but their literature review is far more reliable:
But does the IPCC represent a consensus view of world scientists? Despite media claims of "thousands of scientists" involved in the report, the actual text is written by a much smaller number of "lead authors." By contrast, the ISI Web of Science database covers 8,700 journals and publications, including every leading scientific journal in the world.
Well after checking Sourcewatch.org it seems that the journal's editor is Sonja Boehmer-Christiansen who happens to be a climate skeptic. It would also appear that Energy and Environment is not included in Journal Citation Reports, which lists the impact factors (science speak for how frequently something is referenced/used/cited) for the top 6000 peer-reviewed journals. Ontop of this the journal does not appear on the ISI index's master list of 14,450 peer review journals. The American Chemical Society, a very large and very influential scientific society, published an article harshly criticizing Energy and the Environments credibility.

A while back a social anthropologist named Benny Peiser (who specializes in "contemporary thought and societal evolution") reviewed climate change abstracts and claimed he found 34 that disagreed with the consensus. One of the abstracts discussed the need for alternative energy and carbon sequestration. Amazingly Benny thought that debunked the consensus. After 2 years later Benny finally admitted that he was 97% wrong. Interestingly enough, Benny is also an editor of Energy and Environment. Will this be a repeat? Given that the all of academies of the G8 countries endorsed the IPCC recently it is highly unlikely that there has been such a massive paradigm shift. Will report more when I get my hand on the unpublished paper.

Sources:
Will edit in bibliography of the links later.

16 comments:

John Mashey said...

To save time:
as far as I can tell, this first surfaced in a Lord Monckton piece ~July 19:
scienceandpublicpolicy.org/images/stories/papers/monckton/consensus.pdf

At some point, it looks like Marc Morano (works for Inhofe) got it and spread it around.

Still unclear who has actually seen the paper, as opposed to reports about the paper.

There's a copy of Naomi's reponse:

scienceblogs.com/strangerfruit/2007/08/oreskes_responds_to_schulte.php

Deltoid gang has been doing analysis:
scienceblogs.com/deltoid/2007/08/classifying_abstracts_on_globa.php

Sparrow (in the coal mine) said...

Thanks for the links. Anyone that reads the relevant peer review journals knows this survey is bunk. It's good to see others working so hard to set the facts straight. BTW, you wouldn't happen to be John Mashey from Silicon Graphics are you?

John Mashey said...

Well, there's only one of me that I know of, so indeed, I used to work at SGI, and I'd guess most Google hits of "john mashey" are me.

smoo said...

The paper by Dr. Schulte was publicized by staff working for Inhofe on the Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works blog. I covered it here http://local-warming.blogspot.com/2007/08/do-12-scientists-endorse-global-warming.html. DeSmogBlog found out from the Journal of Energy and Environment that they will not be publishing the paper. See http://www.desmogblog.com/schultes-analysis-not-published-not-going-to-be.

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