prof carter whole premise is that small data sets are not the true picture. data sets of 10 years or even 100 years are to small. You misrepresent him. He just used the 1998 to the present as a similiar comparison to the GW's using 100 or so year data. Both are not true indicators of the earths climate past or future. ps there was a mideveil warm period warmer than today and there was no co2 emmissions from humans
Rundown? What do you mean? you only comment on a small portion of Carters arguments, and even a small portion of that. You don't even comment on the other parts, because they are true! Like Bono sings: "You're just stuck in a moment, and you can't get out of it!" The whole CO2 thing is falling apart and only survives because of science deniers; Like them, you're a politician, not a scientist.
Previously, the alarmist were telling us how 1998 was the warmest year in recorded history and that this proved that CO2 caused GW was a problem. Now, when it cools after 1998, we hear that 1998 was only so warm due to El Nino (which Carter has addressed numerous times incidentally). But the point is, you can't have it both ways. You can't ignore El Nino when it suits you, then use it later.
I have a question. I know why most of Carter's stuff is wrong. But in this video http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vN06JSi-SW8&feature=related , at about 2:00, he shows that the rate of temperature change was much higher in the past. Why is this, and doesn't it "prove" that the current rapid warming period is not bad?
When are you going to wake up to the incontrovertible fact that so-called weather scientists are unable to predict what the weather will do next year, let alone in the next fifty years. Note that the anxiety industry (the media) now use the term "climate change" rather than "global warming". This way, no matter what happens, you are always right! Also, realise that nothing you do will change climate.
You have a confusion over the terms "climate" and "weather". Weather and climate are pseudo-random systems. Weather is like a single coin flip, and climate is like many coin flips. While we do not know what the outcome of any one flip will be, we know that, on average, it will be half heads and half tails.
If you look at data FURTHER back than the typical 1850 cutoff that for some reason people have decided to use and instead look back 1,000 or even better on a geologic scale 1,000,000 or 100,000,000 years you will clearly see that it is COLDER now than in the history of our planet and the current trends no matter what data set you choose are clearly within the normal change limitations. Even looking at rate of change in temperature it is clear when looking at ALL the data that our current 1.5-2.5°C per century warming rate is nowhere near the very common 10-15°C rates that were present in the past.
"Defending Scientific consensus from vested interests"
Scientific "consensus" does not equate to scientific fact. However, the "consensus" of your blog post seems to suggest that there is very little that climate change alarmists such can do to counter the facts and that the reality of situation is that global warming is an agenda and not a reality.
Have you ever considered publishing an ebook or guest authoring on other websites? I have a blog based upon on the same subjects you discuss and would really like to have you share some stories/information. I know my readers would value your work. If you are even remotely interested, feel free to shoot me an email.
Good day! I could have sworn I've visited this site before but after going through many of the articles I realized it's new to me. Anyways, I'm certainly pleased I stumbled upon it and I'll be book-marking it and checking back frequently!
I was curious if you ever considered changing the structure of your website? Its very well written; I love what youve got to say. But maybe you could a little more in the way of content so people could connect with it better. Youve got an awful lot of text for only having one or two pictures.
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So - Nasa say 2005 is the hottest year on record? Hmmm - but that was a mistake and now they say 1936 was the hottest year.
ReplyDeleteAbsolute load of shite.
oops looks as though 2007/2008 isn't going to win the hottest year on record prize either!
ReplyDeleteprof carter whole premise is that small data sets are not the true picture. data sets of 10 years or even 100 years are to small. You misrepresent him. He just used the 1998 to the present as a similiar comparison to the GW's using 100 or so year data. Both are not true indicators of the earths climate past or future. ps there was a mideveil warm period warmer than today and there was no co2 emmissions from humans
ReplyDeleteRundown? What do you mean? you only comment on a small portion of Carters arguments, and even a small portion of that. You don't even comment on the other parts, because they are true! Like Bono sings: "You're just stuck in a moment, and you can't get out of it!" The whole CO2 thing is falling apart and only survives because of science deniers; Like them, you're a politician, not a scientist.
ReplyDeletePreviously, the alarmist were telling us how 1998 was the warmest year in recorded history and that this proved that CO2 caused GW was a problem. Now, when it cools after 1998, we hear that 1998 was only so warm due to El Nino (which Carter has addressed numerous times incidentally). But the point is, you can't have it both ways. You can't ignore El Nino when it suits you, then use it later.
ReplyDeleteI have a question. I know why most of Carter's stuff is wrong. But in this video http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vN06JSi-SW8&feature=related , at about 2:00, he shows that the rate of temperature change was much higher in the past. Why is this, and doesn't it "prove" that the current rapid warming period is not bad?
ReplyDeleteWhen are you going to wake up to the incontrovertible fact that so-called weather scientists are unable to predict what the weather will do next year, let alone in the next fifty years. Note that the anxiety industry (the media) now use the term "climate change" rather than "global warming". This way, no matter what happens, you are always right! Also, realise that nothing you do will change climate.
ReplyDeleteMugspew, that did not answer my question.
ReplyDeleteYou have a confusion over the terms "climate" and "weather". Weather and climate are pseudo-random systems. Weather is like a single coin flip, and climate is like many coin flips. While we do not know what the outcome of any one flip will be, we know that, on average, it will be half heads and half tails.
If you look at data FURTHER back than the typical 1850 cutoff that for some reason people have decided to use and instead look back 1,000 or even better on a geologic scale 1,000,000 or 100,000,000 years you will clearly see that it is COLDER now than in the history of our planet and the current trends no matter what data set you choose are clearly within the normal change limitations. Even looking at rate of change in temperature it is clear when looking at ALL the data that our current 1.5-2.5°C per century warming rate is nowhere near the very common 10-15°C rates that were present in the past.
ReplyDeleteI guess you know by now that climategate proves him right. This article is out of date along with the references
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"Defending Scientific consensus from vested interests"
ReplyDeleteScientific "consensus" does not equate to scientific fact. However, the "consensus" of your blog post seems to suggest that there is very little that climate change alarmists such can do to counter the facts and that the reality of situation is that global warming is an agenda and not a reality.
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